How to Trade Prediction Markets Without an Opinion on the Event - Ep. 979

In this episode of Unchained, Laura Shin interviews Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research, about the current state and future of prediction markets. They discuss the increasing trading volumes and user base, the competition between Polymarket and Calshi, and the potential impact of regulatory headwinds. Thielen shares strategies for trading in prediction markets, including cross-market arbitrage, endgame sweep, and following whale flow, while emphasizing the importance of understanding probabilities and avoiding long shots. The conversation also touches on the potential for airdrops and the role of professional traders in shaping the market.