Bond markets have moved through several phases this year: early optimism, tariff-driven concern, rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and now a renewed bout of volatility. For investors trying to understand what the 10-year Treasury is signaling, the past few weeks have brought important developments.

In the latest episode of The Wealth Enterprise Briefing, Managing Partner Michael Zeuner speaks with Global Head of Macro Sam Sudame about what is driving recent rate swings and how to interpret the factors influencing the 10-year.

They talk through:

How policy uncertainty and mixed data have driven rate volatility this year
Why the 10-year remains central to valuations, borrowing costs and fixed income spreads
What current readings imply for inflation, growth and US debt concerns
How term premium and creditworthiness influence long-term rates
Why duration management still matters even as short-term rates come down

Michael and Sam explain that while the Federal Reserve sets short-term policy rates, the market determines the 10-year, and that distinction matters for investors assessing both risk and opportunity in fixed income. Understanding the drivers behind the 10-year can help families avoid unnecessary interest rate exposure and stay anchored in a thoughtful allocation approach.

To discuss how these rate dynamics may relate to your fixed income strategy, please do not hesitate to contact us.

Important Information:

The Wealth Enterprise Briefing contains our current opinions and commentary, which are subject to change without notice. The Briefing is distributed for informational and educational purposes only and does not consider the specific investment objective, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its completeness or accuracy. The information in the Briefing is not a recommendation of any security, and should not be relied upon as investment, legal or tax advice. Please consult with your investment, legal and tax advisors regarding any implications of the information presented in this presentation.

Understanding the Forces Behind Interest Rate Volatility

The Wealth Enterprise Briefing