China and Taiwan: Will it Come to Conflict?

The discussion centers on the evolution of U.S.-China relations, tracing the shift from the hopeful era of engagement to the current state of strategic rivalry under Xi Jinping. Participants analyze the "sweet and sour" nature of the relationship, noting that while initial optimism was rooted in the belief that economic liberalization would lead to political reform, the rise of a more authoritarian, high-tech surveillance state has necessitated a pivot toward deterrence. Key arguments emphasize that the current geopolitical tension is not an accidental byproduct of provocation, but a result of deliberate, aggressive policies originating from Beijing. The panel highlights the necessity of maintaining a credible military deterrent, strengthening alliances among democratic nations, and addressing domestic political polarization to effectively manage the risks of potential conflict, particularly regarding the status of Taiwan.