In this episode, Greg Shearer, head of Base and Precious Metals Research, is joined by Natasha Kaneva, head of Global Commodities Research. Together, they dive into the key factors currently shaping commodities markets — from the evolving geopolitical landscape to the interest rate environment. How have recent attacks on Russian energy infrastructure impacted global oil supply? And how have Fed cutting cycles historically affected oil prices and broader commodity returns? Tune in for expert insights on supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical risk premiums and more.

This episode was recorded on September 26, 2025.

This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan.

From geopolitics to rate cuts: What’s shaping commodities markets?

Making Sense