In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack Farley interviews Julian Brigden about the current market narrative of a fragile but not too weak labor market, allowing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates without causing a recession. Brigden expresses skepticism about the "Goldilocks" scenario, citing historical data that suggests recessions are more likely after tightening cycles. He discusses the possibility of re-acceleration of inflation due to radical policy changes and a potential bond revolt. Brigden also shares his bearish outlook on the dollar, favoring investments in mining, metals, commodities, and overseas assets, while advising caution on U.S. growth stocks. The conversation touches on the potential for the administration to influence the Federal Reserve and the fragility of the U.S. economy's dependence on wealth-driven consumption.
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