In this interview, Chris Williamson speaks with Ray Dalio about global macro investing and the changing world order. Dalio recounts his early experiences that sparked his interest in studying economic cycles and the rise and decline of great powers and reserve currencies. He emphasizes the importance of understanding historical patterns to navigate current events, pointing out similarities between past crises and today's challenges. They discuss five major forces: the debt cycle, political and social conflict, geopolitical order, acts of nature, and technological advancements. Dalio explains the debt cycle, the US government's financial situation, and the potential consequences. He also touches on the impact of wealth disparity on internal politics, the role of populism, and the shifting geopolitical landscape with the rise of China. He expresses concern about the future, particularly regarding AI's disruptive potential and humanity's ability to handle the changes wisely.
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