In this interview, Ray Dalio discusses his interest in changing world orders and how countries go broke, stemming from his experiences and historical studies, particularly Nixon's decision to end the convertibility of the dollar to gold in 1971. He emphasizes the importance of understanding historical patterns to predict future events, citing the Great Depression and the 2008 financial crisis as examples. Dalio outlines five major forces that repeat throughout history: the debt cycle, political and geopolitical conflicts, natural disasters, and man's inventiveness, particularly technology. He explains the debt money economy cycle, the political left-right cycle, and the geopolitical world order, highlighting the US government's current debt situation and the potential consequences. He also touches on the impact of AI, the increasing polarity between the haves and have-nots, and the importance of collective problem-solving.
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