Michelle Weaver, U.S. thematic and equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, and Dave Adams, head of G10FX Strategy at Morgan Stanley, discuss Morgan Stanley's bearish view on the U.S. dollar. They predict a further 10% drop in the dollar by the end of next year, attributing this to converging U.S. and global interest rates, FX hedging by foreign investors, and the impact of tariffs. The conversation explores the implications of a weaker dollar for U.S. multinational companies, highlighting the underappreciated tailwind for their earnings due to the translation effect of foreign revenue. They identify large-cap companies, particularly in tech, materials, and industrials, as the sectors most likely to benefit. The discussion concludes with advice for investors to monitor companies poised to benefit from the weakening dollar in a multipolar world.
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