Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 9th, 2025

The Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast episode features discussions on market trends, economic policies, and geopolitical factors influencing investment strategies. Jean Boivin from BlackRock discusses overweighting US stocks due to powerful mega forces like AI, while remaining cautious on US government bonds due to expectations of higher yields. Ed Mills from Raymond James analyzes President Trump's trade policies, focusing on potential trade deals and tariff implications, and speculates on future Federal Reserve leadership. Kelly Ann Shaw, a former Trump trade advisor, provides insights on the administration's trade negotiation tactics and potential outcomes. Nancy Lazar from Piper Sandler discusses the impact of tariffs on the economy, inflation, and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions, highlighting concerns about stagflation and the need for corporate profit growth to sustain economic health.

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Bloomberg Surveillance

Introduction to Stock Market Analysis and BlackRock's Investment Strategy

US Equities vs. Bonds: BlackRock's Perspective on Market Dynamics

Contrasting US and European Bond Strategies Amid Inflation and Debt Concerns

Bond Market Discipline and the Limits of US Yields

Consistency in BlackRock's Underweight US Treasuries Stance and Client Reception

Trade Deal Expectations and Trump's Tariff Strategy

Trade Deal Prospects and the Impact of Market Reactions on Tariff Policies

Market Reactions, Potential Mistakes, and Unintended Consequences of Tariffs

Speculation on the Next Fed Chair and Potential Candidates

Navigating Trade Negotiations: Advice and Endgame Strategies

Tariff Deadlines, Leverage, and Trading Partner Reactions

Trade Agreements, Transshipment, and Supply Chain Implications

The Persistence of Tariffs and Their Economic Impact

The Fed's Role and the Risk of Protracted Price Increases

The Timing of Fed Rate Cuts and Potential Stagflation

Differing Views at the Federal Reserve and the Economy's Health

Consumer Strength, Corporate Profits, and the Investment Cycle

Podcast outro

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 9th, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance

00:00Introduction to Stock Market Analysis and BlackRock's Investment Strategy

Introduction to Stock Market Analysis and BlackRock's Investment Strategy

01:14US Equities vs. Bonds: BlackRock's Perspective on Market Dynamics

US Equities vs. Bonds: BlackRock's Perspective on Market Dynamics

03:30Contrasting US and European Bond Strategies Amid Inflation and Debt Concerns

Contrasting US and European Bond Strategies Amid Inflation and Debt Concerns

05:30Bond Market Discipline and the Limits of US Yields

Bond Market Discipline and the Limits of US Yields

07:24Consistency in BlackRock's Underweight US Treasuries Stance and Client Reception

Consistency in BlackRock's Underweight US Treasuries Stance and Client Reception

09:17Trade Deal Expectations and Trump's Tariff Strategy

Trade Deal Expectations and Trump's Tariff Strategy

11:12Trade Deal Prospects and the Impact of Market Reactions on Tariff Policies

Trade Deal Prospects and the Impact of Market Reactions on Tariff Policies

13:32Market Reactions, Potential Mistakes, and Unintended Consequences of Tariffs

Market Reactions, Potential Mistakes, and Unintended Consequences of Tariffs

15:18Speculation on the Next Fed Chair and Potential Candidates

Speculation on the Next Fed Chair and Potential Candidates

17:07Navigating Trade Negotiations: Advice and Endgame Strategies

Navigating Trade Negotiations: Advice and Endgame Strategies

18:36Tariff Deadlines, Leverage, and Trading Partner Reactions

Tariff Deadlines, Leverage, and Trading Partner Reactions

20:02Trade Agreements, Transshipment, and Supply Chain Implications

Trade Agreements, Transshipment, and Supply Chain Implications

22:33The Persistence of Tariffs and Their Economic Impact

The Persistence of Tariffs and Their Economic Impact

24:00The Fed's Role and the Risk of Protracted Price Increases

The Fed's Role and the Risk of Protracted Price Increases

25:50The Timing of Fed Rate Cuts and Potential Stagflation

The Timing of Fed Rate Cuts and Potential Stagflation

27:40Differing Views at the Federal Reserve and the Economy's Health

Differing Views at the Federal Reserve and the Economy's Health

29:02Consumer Strength, Corporate Profits, and the Investment Cycle

Consumer Strength, Corporate Profits, and the Investment Cycle

30:26Podcast outro

Podcast outro