Will uncertainty continue to shape business cycle dynamics? How might trade tensions, fiscal policy and geopolitical risks play out? And will there be lasting damage to markets and the economy? Join J.P. Morgan Research analysts as they explore the outlook for the second half of 2025.

In this episode, we hear from:

Bruce Kasman, chief global economist
Bhupinder Singh, US equity strategist and head of thematic research
Jay Barry, head of Global Rates Strategy
Meera Chandan, co-head of Global FX Strategy
Natasha Kaneva, global head of commodoties research
Stephen Dulake, co-head of Fundamental Research
Johnathan Goulden, head of EM fixed income strategy
Fabio Bassi, head of Cross-Asset Strategy

This podcast was recorded between June 23 - June 26, 2025.

This communication is provided for information purposes only. Please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively, J.P. Morgan) normally make a market and trade as principal in securities, other financial products and other asset classes that may be discussed in this communication.

This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan.

Copyright 2025, JPMorganChase & Co. All rights reserved.

Uncertainty reigns: The market outlook at mid-year

Making Sense