This episode explores significant macro-economic catalysts and their potential impact on the crypto market, specifically focusing on the implications of tariffs, American capital flight, and increasing global money supply. Against the backdrop of a concerning Q1 GDP report, the hosts discuss the probability of a tariff-driven recession and its potential negative effects on crypto, which is generally considered a risk-on asset. More significantly, the discussion pivots to the phenomenon of American capital flight, with gold's surge suggesting a shift away from the US dollar as the global store of value; this trend, while potentially negative in the short term, aligns with the long-held crypto thesis of a credible alternative monetary system. In contrast to these macro concerns, the increasing global money supply, projected to enter a new cycle of growth, is viewed as potentially bullish for crypto in the long run, as governments might resort to printing money to alleviate economic pain. For instance, the hosts cite Ray Dalio's analysis predicting a new monetary order and the potential for increased money printing. The episode concludes by highlighting the implications of these macro trends for Bitcoin and Ethereum, emphasizing the potential for Bitcoin to become a global reserve asset and the ongoing debate surrounding Ethereum's strategic refocusing on Layer 1 scaling.
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