Today on the podcast we welcome back Cullen Roche. Cullen is the founder and chief investment officer of the Discipline Funds, which manages the Discipline Fund ETF. In addition, he heads up Orcam Group, a registered investment advisory firm he established in 2012. He’s authored several books, including Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Know About Money and Finance, and he has a new book coming out next year called Your Perfect Portfolio. Cullen started his career as an advisor at Merrill Lynch and worked at an event-driven hedge fund before starting his RIA firm. He received his bachelor’s degree in finance from Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business. Cullen, welcome back to The Long View.

Background

Tariffs and Recession

“Let’s Talk About Tariffs,” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, Feb. 3, 2025.

“Weekend Reading—How Did We Get Here?” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, April 4, 2025.

“Three Things—Tariffs, Of Course,” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, April 7, 2025.

“American Economic Association 2021-2022 Universal Academic Questionnaire Summary Statistics,” by Charles E. Scott and John J. Siegfried, jstor.org.

“Three Things—Is a Recession Coming?” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, Feb. 8, 2025.

Defined Duration Investing

“What Is Defined Duration Investing?” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, Feb. 21, 2023.

“Defined Duration Investing,” by Cullen Roche, paper.ssrn.com, Aug. 8, 2022.

The Fed and Global Investing

“Three Things—State of the Markets,” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, Feb. 22, 2025.

“Why Is International Investing Working Again?” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, March 26, 2025.

“Three Things—Weekend Reading,” by Cullen Roche, disciplinefunds.com, April 19, 2025.

Other

“Cullen Roche: Macro Is About Understanding the World for What It Is,” The Long View podcast, Morningstar.com, Jan. 11, 2022.

Milton Friedman

“NY Empire State Index: Meaning, Benefits, Example,” by Adam Hayes, Investopedia.com, June 30, 2022.

William Bernstein’s No-Brainer Portfolio

Meb Faber

The Humble Investor, by Dan Rasmussen

Cullen Roche: What Tariffs Mean for Your Portfolio

The Long View