Michael Cembalest's "Eye on the Market" podcast celebrates its 20th anniversary with a 2025 market outlook called "The Alchemists." This edition delves into the likely effects of policies under a Trump administration, examining both potential benefits—like deregulation and cost reductions—and challenges, such as the inflationary impact of tariffs and deportations. A key focus is the 10-year Treasury yield, which serves as a vital indicator. Cembalest anticipates a market correction of 10-15% but expects equities to finish 2025 slightly above current levels. He also shares insights on how AI adoption could influence major tech companies while expressing doubts about a revival of nuclear power.
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