This episode explores intraday seasonality in the stock market, specifically focusing on the best times to buy and sell based on historical data analysis. Against the backdrop of a discussion about individual portfolio adjustments and the recent market downturn, the hosts delve into a detailed study covering 15 years of market indices and futures ETFs, revealing a "low AM and high PM" pattern in bull markets. More significantly, the analysis shows that the optimal time to buy the dip is between 10:30 AM and 11:00 AM Eastern Standard Time, coinciding with the market's weakest point. For instance, the hosts highlight that this pattern is a bull market phenomenon, reversing in bear markets. The discussion also touches upon the unusual behavior of the VIX (volatility index) and the implications of MicroStrategy's significant Bitcoin investment, raising concerns about market liquidity. Ultimately, the episode offers actionable insights into intraday trading strategies, emphasizing the importance of considering market conditions and historical trends.
