Recent increases in inflation expectations, partly driven by concerns over a potential Trump presidency, have led to a sell-off in US Treasury bonds and a dip in the stock market. However, the speaker believes this is just a temporary adjustment. They point out that job openings are returning to pre-pandemic levels, which were characterized by low inflation, and that oil prices are not reflecting the recent surge in inflation expectations. The speaker predicts that after the election, the market will shift its focus back to weakening economic indicators, resulting in lower inflation expectations and a subsequent rally in the stock market, similar to past trends.
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