In this episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the panel dives into the results of the 2024 US Presidential election, suggesting a likely victory for Trump. They examine exit poll data that reveals a nearly tied national popular vote, with Trump expected to dominate crucial swing states. The discussion points to several reasons for this outcome, including widespread voter dissatisfaction with the Biden administration and the economy, potential gender dynamics affecting Harris's campaign, and strategic missteps by Democrats on key issues like immigration and the economy. While they recognize that the data is still preliminary, the panel emphasizes the reliability of pre-election polls and the intricate factors shaping the election results.