Jonathan Garner: A Bullish Turn for India

This podcast episode explores the recent changes in market views at Morgan Stanley, particularly the downgrades for Taiwan and China and the contrasting economic and market outlooks of these two countries compared to India. The firm believes that we are in a new bull market in Asia and EM, emphasizing the identification of leadership at the market level in a transitioning mid-cycle environment. While Japan remains the firm's top pick in global equities, China and Taiwan have been downgraded due to concerns over valuations, weak demand, and structural issues in China. India stands out with a positive economic outlook driven by demographic trends, strong manufacturing and services sectors, and geopolitical advantages, suggesting its potential outperformance compared to China. The podcast delves into the contrasting economic situations and real estate market dynamics of China and India, highlighting the importance of these factors in shaping market views and investment decisions.