This podcast episode explores President Biden's initial support for Israel in response to the terror attack in October, emphasizing his personal connection and empathy towards the Israeli people. It discusses Biden's cautionary advice to Israel, urging them to avoid excessive force and consider alternative approaches. The episode also focuses on the United States' efforts to shape Israel's response to the conflict and prevent its escalation beyond Gaza. It highlights the challenges and friction points faced by Biden in influencing the situation in Gaza, including disagreements over the governance of the region. The episode further examines the tools available to the President and his administration in pressuring Israel, such as public statements and arm supplies. It delves into the potential for change in Biden's strategy as the conflict continues to unfold and the delicate balance he maintains in engaging with Israel. Overall, the episode provides insights into the factors influencing President Biden's approach to Israel's offensive against Hamas and the complex dynamics of the conflict.
Takeaways
• President Biden expressed strong support for Israel in response to the terror attack and emphasized his personal connection and empathy towards the Israeli people.
• Biden cautioned Israel to avoid excessive force and consider alternative approaches, drawing from America's response to 9/11.
• The United States aims to shape Israel's response and prevent the conflict from escalating beyond Gaza, particularly with concerns about Hezbollah's presence in Southern Lebanon.
• Biden's influence is constrained by differing viewpoints on the governance of Gaza and the long-term question of how to govern the region.
• The Biden administration encourages Israel to consider the consequences and impact on civilians before engaging in a ground war, delaying the conflict and implementing warning measures for civilians to evacuate.
• There is a difference of opinion between the US and Israel regarding the provision of humanitarian aid to Gaza and the governance of the region after the war.
• The Biden administration faces challenges in influencing Israel's actions, including frustration over civilian casualties and disagreements on governance.
• The United States holds significant tools to influence Israel, such as being the main supplier for its military operations, although conditioning arm supplies based on war conduct is yet to be openly discussed.
• Maintaining a delicate balance, Biden engages in private calls with Israeli leaders while applying public pressure through his administration's statements.
• The evolving circumstances and pressure may force Biden to reassess his approach to the conflict and potentially take a harder line in curbing the Israeli offensive.