This podcast episode explores the likelihood of Donald Trump and Joe Biden being the Republican and Democratic presidential candidates in the upcoming US election. It discusses the potential financial benefits of Trump's new social media company and the key differences between his 2016 and 2024 campaigns. The motivations behind Trump's actions and the role of his family in his political ambitions are also examined. The episode further analyzes the reasons behind Trump's popularity, the state of the American political market, and the connection between cultural change and income inequality. The potential impact of Trump's presidency on the United States' alliance system, US-China relations, and global policy is also discussed.