6 months ago I wrote Feedbackloop-first Rationality. I didn't followup on it for awhile (except for sporadic Deliberate (“Purposeful?”) Practice Club).

I just spent 6 weeks actually exploring "how would I build my own cognition training program?". In the process of doing so, I've iterated a bunch. I'm still in an orienting phase, but it seemed worth writing down the current stage of my thoughts.

What's my goal?

A rough overview:

I want to get more, higher quality "X-risk thinker hours" hours.
- This includes AI alignment technical research, AI macrostrategy research, policy, governance, as well as people (such as Lightcone team) deciding which infrastructure to build,
I'm particularly interested in getting more "serial research", as opposed to more "parallel research." We can throw more researchers at a problem, but if there are some problems that require one person to synthesize 10+ years of experience, all the parallel [...]

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Outline:

(00:32) Whats my goal?

(01:28) Rationality for the sake of existential risk

(03:18) The Story So Far

(03:22) Feedback-loops and deliberate practice, vs Just Clicking

(05:00) What About CFAR? Didnt they teach just click skills?

(06:12) Hamming-nature, 10x plans, OODA Loops

(08:23) Planning vs OODA Loops

(09:29) My Process: Test Driven Development

(10:50) Alternate Strategies and/or Theories of Change

(11:38) #1: Help senior researchers with specific targeted problems.

(13:14) #2: Build a Thinking Assistant Pipeline

(15:23) #3. Learning Generalized Research Taste

(18:16) #4. Filtering/enculturation for Overall Community Epistemic Health

(19:17) #5. Investigating s factor?

(20:58) Itd be cool if a second group also worked towards rationality skill assessment.

(22:31) What Have I Actually Done?

(25:02) Whats Next?

The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.

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First published:
February 24th, 2024

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FEMWS79AFTmKq2iJK/rationality-research-report-towards-10x-ooda-looping

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

“Rationality Research Report: Towards 10x OODA Looping?” by Raemon

LessWrong (30+ Karma)