This is a linkpost for https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/practically-a-book-review-rootclaim

Lots of people already know about ACX/SSC, but I think that crossposting to LW is unusually valuable in this particular case, since lots of people were waiting for a big schelling-point overview of the 15-hour Rootclaim Lab Leak debate, and unlike LW, ACX's comment section is a massive vote-less swamp that lags the entire page.

Here are the first 10 paragraphs:

Saar Wilf is an ex-Israeli entrepreneur. Since 2016, he's been developing a new form of reasoning, meant to transcend normal human bias.

His method - called Rootclaim - uses Bayesian reasoning, a branch of math that explains the right way to weigh evidence. This isn’t exactly new. Everyone supports Bayesian reasoning. The statisticians support it, I support it, Nate Silver wrote a whole book supporting it.

But the joke goes that you do Bayesian reasoning by doing normal reasoning while muttering “Bayes, Bayes [...]

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First published:
March 28th, 2024

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zbKycwbnzcFvqHv2F/linkpost-practically-a-book-review-rootclaim-usd100-000-lab

Linkpost URL:
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/practically-a-book-review-rootclaim

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

[Linkpost] “Practically-A-Book Review: Rootclaim $100,000 Lab Leak Debate” by trevor

LessWrong (30+ Karma)